Championship· Season 2025
Match Summary
QPR defeated Stoke City 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by H. Vale 75′. 8 yellow cards were shown. QPR had 35% possession while Stoke City held 65%. QPR had 14 shots (7 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: QPR 1.33 — Stoke City 1.09. QPR made 1 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between QPR and Stoke City — 1 goal and 8 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
QPR had 35% possession against Stoke City's 65%. QPR registered 14 shots (7 on target) while Stoke City managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 8–13.
Rivalry since 2011
QPR vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 21
QPR and Stoke City have met 21 times — QPR won 7, Stoke City won 7, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 49 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.33 per match (24 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stoke City are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2023.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, QPR have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.8
Average goals per game
20%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 6.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Max | 2.71 | 3.28 | 2.66 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.1% | 29.0% | 35.8% |
| Public market | 34.9% | 28.9% | 36.2% |
QPR vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: QPR
Away Record: Stoke City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026