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Bristol City vs QPR

4 October 2025 at 15:00Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
12
Away

QPR

Match Summary

QPR defeated Bristol City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by E. Riis 32′, R. Kone 66′, P. Smyth 84′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Bristol City had 58% possession while QPR held 42%. Bristol City had 11 shots (1 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for QPR. Expected goals: Bristol City 1.21 — QPR 0.48. Bristol City made 4 substitutions, QPR made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Bristol City and QPR — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
E. Riis

assist: Neto Borges

32′
Half Time
M. SykesR. McCrorie
55′
65′
K. SaitoH. Vale
66′
E. RiisS. Armstrong
68′
83′
R. KoneR. Kolli
84′
P. Smyth

assist: J. Dunne

G. TannerF. Mayulu
86′
90+3′
R. BurrellM. Frey
Full Time

Match Statistics

Bristol City had 58% possession against QPR's 42%. Bristol City registered 11 shots (1 on target) while QPR managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–1. Fouls committed: 9–8.

Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots Off Goal
7
3
Total Shots
11
8
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots inside the Box
7
8
Shots outside the Box
4
0
Fouls
9
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
5
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
0
Total Passes
507
364
Accurate Passes
411
273
Pass Accuracy
81%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
0.48
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.05
-0.05

Rivalry since 2015

Bristol City vs QPR Head to Head Results· 21

Bristol City and QPR have met 21 times — Bristol City won 9, QPR won 6, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Bristol City leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.95 per match (24 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bristol City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2022.

Drawn
6
·
6
wins
Total goals
41 · 2.0/match
Both scored
10/21 · 48%
Over 2.5
7/21 · 33%

Recent Meetings

11/04/26Championship
Match Details
12/04/25Championship
Match Details
14/12/24Championship
Match Details
17/02/24Championship
Match Details
11/11/23Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
01/10/22Championship
Match Details
30/12/21Championship
Match Details
18/09/21Championship
Match Details
06/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. QPR show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

QPR

LLLLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol City2wins
4draws10 meetings
QPR4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate QPR.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.8%Draw 27.7%Away 22.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.713.504.36
Max1.813.714.50
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Bristol City · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.5%25.6%21.8%
Public market53.5%26.1%20.3%
Δ1.0%0.5%1.5%

Bristol City vs QPR — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

QPR
Result vs. Market: Bristol City (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol CityHalf-time:10QPR
11Shots8
1Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202625/262.20/3.30/3.10
4 Oct 202525/261.76/3.60/4.43
12 Apr 202524/253.14/3.32/2.29
14 Dec 202424/251.90/3.47/4.06
17 Feb 202423/241.96/3.36/4.05
11 Nov 202323/242.77/3.23/2.62
8 May 202322/232.35/3.51/2.92
1 Oct 202222/232.29/3.39/3.20
30 Dec 202121/222.93/3.36/2.43
18 Sept 202121/221.82/3.70/4.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Away Record: QPR

W 303D 232L 339
Over 2.549
Goals scored1055

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026