Championship· Season 2025
Match Summary
Derby and Southampton drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by A. Armstrong 7′, P. Agyemang 40′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Derby had 37% possession while Southampton held 63%. Derby had 9 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Southampton. Expected goals: Derby 1.36 — Southampton 1.06. Derby made 5 substitutions, Southampton made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Derby and Southampton — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Weimann
Match Statistics
Derby had 37% possession against Southampton's 63%. Derby registered 9 shots (5 on target) while Southampton managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 11–9.
Rivalry since 2011
Derby vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 4
Derby and Southampton have met 4 times — Derby won 0, Southampton won 2, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 4 meetings. A combined 13 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.25 per match (4 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Southampton are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2019.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
38%
Games with 3+ goals
63%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Southampton.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Max | 3.50 | 3.34 | 2.17 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 27.6% | 28.5% | 43.9% |
| Public market | 26.5% | 28.1% | 45.3% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% |
Derby vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Derby
Away Record: Southampton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026