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Blackburn vs Stoke City

4 October 2025 at 12:30Ewood Park, Blackburn
11
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo

Match Summary

Blackburn and Stoke City drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Manhoef 49′, A. Kargbo 82′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Blackburn had 48% possession while Stoke City held 52%. Blackburn had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (6 on target) for Stoke City. Expected goals: Blackburn 1.88 — Stoke City 0.81. Blackburn made 4 substitutions, Stoke City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Stoke City — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
49′
A. GudjohnsenY. Ohashi
59′
67′
T. RigoS. N'Zonzi
67′
D. MubamaR. Bozenik
Y. RibeiroD. De Neve
68′
81′
J. BaeJ. Donley
A. Kargbo

assist: T. Cantwell

82′
90+2′
90+1′
S. ThomasL. Cisse
Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 48% possession against Stoke City's 52%. Blackburn registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Stoke City managed 11 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 7–6. Fouls committed: 5–9.

Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots Off Goal
8
2
Total Shots
17
11
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots inside the Box
11
10
Shots outside the Box
6
1
Fouls
5
9
Corner Kicks
7
6
Offsides
3
3
Ball Possession
48%
52%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
4
Total Passes
383
431
Accurate Passes
294
338
Pass Accuracy
77%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
0.81
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.75
0.75

Rivalry since 2010

Blackburn vs Stoke City Head to Head Results· 20

Blackburn and Stoke City have met 20 times — Blackburn won 6, Stoke City won 11, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Stoke City leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 47 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.35 per match (22 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Stoke City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
47 · 2.4/match
Both scored
9/20 · 45%
Over 2.5
8/20 · 40%

Recent Meetings

11/04/26Championship
Match Details
12/03/25Championship
Match Details
06/11/24Championship
Match Details
10/02/24Championship
Match Details
25/11/23Championship
Match Details
10/03/23Championship
Match Details
27/08/22Championship
Match Details
18/04/22Championship
Match Details
27/11/21Championship
Match Details
16/01/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Stoke City show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Blackburn3wins
2draws10 meetings
Stoke City5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.7%Draw 31.1%Away 36.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.503.192.70
Max2.673.252.77
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.7%29.9%34.4%
Public market37.1%28.5%34.4%
Δ1.4%1.3%

Blackburn vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Blackburn (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:00Stoke City
17Shots11
5Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202625/262.57/3.25/2.65
4 Oct 202525/262.58/3.22/2.74
12 Mar 202524/252.66/3.22/2.72
6 Nov 202424/252.02/3.52/3.65
10 Feb 202423/242.37/3.55/2.88
25 Nov 202323/242.19/3.54/3.18
10 Mar 202322/232.01/3.33/3.93
27 Aug 202222/232.51/3.21/2.92
18 Apr 202221/222.04/3.37/3.83
27 Nov 202121/222.11/3.35/3.59

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026