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Stoke City vs Wrexham

18 October 2025 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke
10

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Wrexham 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by S. Thomas 36′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Stoke City had 56% possession while Wrexham held 44%. Stoke City had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 5 (3 on target) for Wrexham. Expected goals: Stoke City 0.61 — Wrexham 0.59. Stoke City made 3 substitutions, Wrexham made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Stoke City and Wrexham — 1 goal and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
S. Thomas

assist: A. Cresswell

36′
Half Time
62′
R. LongmanL. Cacace
62′
G. DobsonM. James
62′
B. SheafN. Broadhead
D. MubamaR. Bozenik
74′
75′
I. KaboreR. Barnett
T. SekoS. N'Zonzi
82′
M. ManhoefL. Cisse
82′
84′
D. HyamS. Smith
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stoke City had 56% possession against Wrexham's 44%. Stoke City registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Wrexham managed 5 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 12–5.

Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Total Shots
12
5
Blocked Shots
5
0
Shots inside the Box
8
4
Shots outside the Box
4
1
Fouls
12
5
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
533
418
Accurate Passes
454
331
Pass Accuracy
85%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
0.59
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.71
-0.71

Rivalry since 2015

Stoke City vs Wrexham Head to Head Results· 2

Stoke City and Wrexham have met 2 times — Stoke City won 1, Wrexham won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (3 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2015.

Drawn
0
·
1
wins
Total goals
6 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/2 · 50%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26Championship
Match Details
04/01/15FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Wrexham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings
1
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/261.71/3.70/4.50
Match Details
18 Oct 202525/261.92/3.56/3.79
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.9%Draw 28.1%Away 26.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.503.75
Max1.943.623.82
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Stoke City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.9%26.2%24.8%
Public market48.7%26.6%24.8%

Stoke City vs Wrexham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Stoke City (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Wrexham
12Shots5
3Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Wrexham

W 19D 14L 13
Over 2.550
Goals scored69

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026