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Birmingham vs Millwall

4 November 2025 at 19:45St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
40
Referee: Gavin Ward

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Millwall 4:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by Paik Seung-Ho 28′, D. Gray 45′, A. Cochrane 49′, J. Stansfield 66′. Birmingham had 58% possession while Millwall held 42%. Birmingham had 12 shots (6 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Millwall. Expected goals: Birmingham 1.90 — Millwall 0.12. Birmingham made 5 substitutions, Millwall made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Birmingham and Millwall — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
57′
C. NeghliA. Emakhu
D. GrayK. Anderson
59′
M. DuckschK. Furuhashi
59′
71′
J. BryanZ. Sturge
72′
T. BalloC. Taylor
72′
M. IvanovicM. Langstaff
T. IwataB. Osayi-Samuel
79′
P. RobertsL. Koumas
79′
79′
B. MitchellD. Mazou-Sacko
T. DoyleM. Leonard
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Birmingham had 58% possession against Millwall's 42%. Birmingham registered 12 shots (6 on target) while Millwall managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 2–3. Fouls committed: 3–12.

Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots Off Goal
5
2
Total Shots
12
4
Blocked Shots
1
0
Shots inside the Box
8
1
Shots outside the Box
4
3
Fouls
3
12
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
0
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
515
369
Accurate Passes
426
276
Pass Accuracy
83%
75%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
0.12
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.83
-0.83

Rivalry since 2011

Birmingham vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 23

Birmingham and Millwall have met 23 times — Birmingham won 7, Millwall won 8, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 57 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.48 per match (31 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (35%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Millwall are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
57 · 2.5/match
Both scored
8/23 · 35%
Over 2.5
9/23 · 39%

Recent Meetings

25/02/26Championship
Match Details
09/03/24Championship
Match Details
02/09/23Championship
Match Details
18/04/23Championship
Match Details
02/11/22Championship
Match Details
23/04/22Championship
Match Details
04/12/21Championship
Match Details
17/02/21Championship
Match Details
28/11/20Championship
Match Details
26/02/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham2wins
4draws10 meetings
Millwall4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.2%Draw 29.4%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.813.404.20
Max1.813.404.20
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:20Millwall
12Shots4
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Feb 202625/262.40/3.30/2.82
4 Nov 202525/261.81/3.40/4.20
9 Mar 202423/242.21/3.21/3.46
2 Sept 202323/242.39/3.10/3.09
18 Apr 202322/231.73/3.51/5.33
2 Nov 202222/232.54/3.14/2.96
23 Apr 202221/223.35/3.31/2.22
4 Dec 202121/222.16/3.18/3.64
17 Feb 202120/212.15/3.03/3.99
28 Nov 202020/212.96/3.02/2.65

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026