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Blackburn vs Derby

8 November 2025 at 12:30Ewood Park, Blackburn
12
Away

Derby

Referee: Thomas Kirk

Match Summary

Derby defeated Blackburn 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by C. Morris 19′, P. Agyemang 45′, Y. Ohashi 66′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Blackburn had 65% possession while Derby held 35%. Blackburn had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 6 (4 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Blackburn 1.09 — Derby 0.95. Blackburn made 3 substitutions, Derby made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Derby — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
19′
C. Morris

assist: C. Elder

45′
Half Time
T. Gardner-HickmanK. Montgomery
46′
Y. Ohashi

Penalty

66′
71′
P. AgyemangR. Brewster
72′
B. Brereton DiazA. Weimann
A. HenrikssonA. Forshaw
79′
R. MorishitaM. Gueye
79′
90+1′
J. WardD. Batth
Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 65% possession against Derby's 35%. Blackburn registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Derby managed 6 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 13–3. Fouls committed: 6–11.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Total Shots
8
6
Blocked Shots
1
0
Shots inside the Box
6
5
Shots outside the Box
2
1
Fouls
6
11
Corner Kicks
13
3
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
65%
35%
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
2
Total Passes
447
255
Accurate Passes
340
171
Pass Accuracy
76%
67%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
0.95
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.14
0.14

Rivalry since 2012

Blackburn vs Derby Head to Head Results· 22

Blackburn and Derby have met 22 times — Blackburn won 11, Derby won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.55 per match (33 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

11
wins
Drawn
5
·
6
wins
Total goals
56 · 2.5/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
11/22 · 50%

Recent Meetings

28/02/26Championship
Match Details
08/03/25Championship
Match Details
09/08/24Championship
Match Details
15/03/22Championship
Match Details
30/10/21Championship
Match Details
16/04/21Championship
Match Details
26/09/20Championship
Match Details
08/03/20Championship
Match Details
07/12/19Championship
Match Details
09/04/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Blackburn dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Blackburn6wins
0draws10 meetings
Derby4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.4%Draw 30.3%Away 25.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.303.90
Max1.913.303.90
Over 2.5: 42.0%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Blackburn · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Blackburn (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:02Derby
8Shots6
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/262.10/3.30/3.30
8 Nov 202525/261.91/3.30/3.90
8 Mar 202524/252.76/3.07/2.75
9 Aug 202424/252.27/3.40/3.18
15 Mar 202221/221.83/3.25/5.07
30 Oct 202121/222.82/3.22/2.57
16 Apr 202120/212.11/3.34/3.61
26 Sept 202020/212.79/3.27/2.61
8 Mar 202019/202.37/3.20/3.18
7 Dec 201919/202.04/3.53/3.76

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026