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Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

8 November 2025 at 15:00Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Birmingham 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by D. Fry 17′, D. Gray 29′, H. Hackney 45′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Middlesbrough had 43% possession while Birmingham held 57%. Middlesbrough had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Birmingham. Expected goals: Middlesbrough 0.61 — Birmingham 1.20. Middlesbrough made 5 substitutions, Birmingham made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Middlesbrough and Birmingham — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
5′
Paik Seung-HoM. Leonard
D. Fry

assist: C. Brittain

17′
D. FryS. Silvera
25′
29′
H. Hackney

assist: A. Morris

45′
Half Time
57′
D. GrayK. Anderson
57′
M. DuckschK. Furuhashi
M. TargettG. McCormick
60′
R. McGreeS. Nypan
61′
M. WhittakerM. K. Sene
61′
80′
T. IwataL. Dykes
80′
P. RobertsL. Koumas
T. ConwayD. Burgzorg
86′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Middlesbrough had 43% possession against Birmingham's 57%. Middlesbrough registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Birmingham managed 13 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 9–13.

Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Total Shots
8
13
Blocked Shots
2
3
Shots inside the Box
5
8
Shots outside the Box
3
5
Fouls
9
13
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
3
3
Ball Possession
43%
57%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2
Total Passes
353
454
Accurate Passes
272
371
Pass Accuracy
77%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
1.20
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.57
-0.57

Rivalry since 2011

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 25

Middlesbrough and Birmingham have met 25 times — Middlesbrough won 14, Birmingham won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 62 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.48 per match (38 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2020.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
62 · 2.5/match
Both scored
12/25 · 48%
Over 2.5
11/25 · 44%

Recent Meetings

02/03/26Championship
Match Details
12/03/24Championship
Match Details
21/10/23Championship
Match Details
02/01/23Championship
Match Details
05/10/22Championship
Match Details
15/03/22Championship
Match Details
30/10/21Championship
Match Details
16/01/21Championship
Match Details
19/12/20Championship
Match Details
21/01/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Middlesbrough dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough8wins
0draws10 meetings
Birmingham2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.2%Draw 30.8%Away 37.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.553.252.65
Max2.553.252.65
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:21Birmingham
8Shots13
4Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

2 Mar 202625/262.40/3.60/2.57
8 Nov 202525/262.55/3.25/2.65
12 Mar 202423/242.85/3.54/2.41
21 Oct 202323/241.76/3.75/4.55
2 Jan 202322/233.11/3.35/2.33
5 Oct 202222/231.66/3.70/5.69
15 Mar 202221/223.68/3.34/2.07
30 Oct 202121/222.15/3.25/3.59
16 Jan 202120/211.83/3.40/4.90
19 Dec 202020/213.32/3.07/2.38

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026