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ChampionshipSeason 2025

Derby vs Portsmouth

20 December 2025 at 15:00Pride Park, Derby
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Derby

11
Referee: Farai Hallam

Match Summary

Derby and Portsmouth drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by C. Lang 6′, H. Matthews 45′ (o.g.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Derby had 52% possession while Portsmouth held 48%. Derby had 12 shots (6 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Portsmouth. Expected goals: Derby 0.79 — Portsmouth 0.15. Derby made 2 substitutions, Portsmouth made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Derby and Portsmouth — 2 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
6′
H. Matthews

Own Goal

45′
Half Time
53′
J. MurphyH. Blair
66′
66′
C. ChaplinA. Segecic
R. BrewsterA. Weimann
68′
B. Brereton DiazL. Salvesen
77′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Derby had 52% possession against Portsmouth's 48%. Derby registered 12 shots (6 on target) while Portsmouth managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 7–4.

Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots Off Goal
5
2
Total Shots
12
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Shots inside the Box
8
2
Shots outside the Box
4
2
Fouls
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
52%
48%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
6
Total Passes
417
392
Accurate Passes
322
299
Pass Accuracy
77%
76%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
0.15
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.44
-0.44

Rivalry since 2011

Derby vs Portsmouth Head to Head Results· 10

Derby and Portsmouth have met 10 times — Derby won 4, Portsmouth won 1, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Derby leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.70 per match (17 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (70%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Derby are currently unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.

4
wins
Drawn
5
·
Total goals
27 · 2.7/match
Both scored
7/10 · 70%
Over 2.5
6/10 · 60%

Recent Meetings

16/03/26Championship
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12/04/25Championship
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13/12/24Championship
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02/04/24League One
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16/09/23League One
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29/04/23League One
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18/11/22League One
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12/08/15League Cup
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21/04/12Championship
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29/10/11Championship
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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Portsmouth show 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Derby dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
3
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (75%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/10/1111/122.54/3.11/2.85
16 Mar 202625/262.15/3.20/3.40
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/262.02/3.21/3.92
Match Details
12 Apr 202524/252.35/3.10/3.31
Match Details
13 Dec 202424/252.09/3.17/3.74
Match Details
21/04/1211/122.04/3.33/3.63
11 Jun 201010/112.30/3.27/3.06
2 May 201110/112.00/3.35/3.72

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.5%Draw 31.1%Away 25.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.963.203.85
Max2.083.234.00
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.8%29.5%24.7%
Public market47.6%29.1%23.3%
Δ1.8%0.4%1.4%

Derby vs Portsmouth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Derby (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:11Portsmouth
12Shots4
6Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Portsmouth

W 56D 49L 79
Over 2.545
Goals scored210

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026