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ChampionshipSeason 2025

Oxford United vs Swansea

29 December 2025 at 19:45Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Referee: Adam Herczeg

Match Summary

Swansea defeated Oxford United 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by Z. Vipotnik 13′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Oxford United had 47% possession while Swansea held 53%. Oxford United had 11 shots (2 on target) compared to 10 (5 on target) for Swansea. Expected goals: Oxford United 0.48 — Swansea 0.79. Oxford United made 4 substitutions, Swansea made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Oxford United and Swansea — 1 goal and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
13′
Z. Vipotnik

assist: J. Tymon

Half Time
L. HarrisF. Krastev
55′
61′
J. FultonG. Franco
61′
Z. InoussaRonald
P. PlachetaS. Dembele
66′
N. PrelecW. Lankshear
66′
S. MillsO. ter Haar Romeny
76′
76′
J. EomM. Yalcouye
87′
87′
M. WidellI. Samuels-Smith
Full Time

Match Statistics

Oxford United had 47% possession against Swansea's 53%. Oxford United registered 11 shots (2 on target) while Swansea managed 10 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 1–5. Fouls committed: 13–11.

Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Total Shots
11
10
Blocked Shots
6
2
Shots inside the Box
3
9
Shots outside the Box
8
1
Fouls
13
11
Corner Kicks
1
5
Offsides
1
2
Ball Possession
47%
53%
Yellow Cards
2
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
2
Total Passes
391
433
Accurate Passes
264
306
Pass Accuracy
68%
71%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
0.79
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.20
0.20

Rivalry since 2016

Oxford United vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 5

Oxford United and Swansea have met 5 times — Oxford United won 2, Swansea won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.40 per match (8 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (60%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Swansea are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

Drawn
1
·
2
wins
Total goals
17 · 3.4/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Meetings

06/12/25Championship
Match Details
03/05/25Championship
Match Details
02/11/24Championship
Match Details
21/07/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
10/01/16FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Oxford United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Swansea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings
3
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Swansea.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Dec 202525/262.75/3.16/2.58
Match Details
6 Dec 202525/262.06/3.39/3.63
Match Details
3 May 202524/251.65/4.05/4.80
Match Details
2 Nov 202424/252.79/3.19/2.67
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.3%Draw 31.6%Away 38.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.753.052.55
Max2.763.272.62
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.5%29.1%36.4%
Public market33.6%30.3%36.2%
Δ1.0%1.1%0.2%

Oxford United vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swansea
Result vs. Market: Swansea (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Oxford UnitedHalf-time:01Swansea
11Shots10
2Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Oxford United

W 24D 28L 40
Over 2.541
Goals scored94

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026