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Millwall vs Bristol City

29 December 2025 at 19:45The Den, London
Referee: David Webb

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Bristol City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by C. Neghli 16′, A. Randell 49′, M. Langstaff 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Millwall had 42% possession while Bristol City held 58%. Millwall had 8 shots (2 on target) compared to 16 (3 on target) for Bristol City. Expected goals: Millwall 0.63 — Bristol City 0.96. Millwall made 5 substitutions, Bristol City made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Millwall and Bristol City — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
B. MitchellR. Leonard
46′
49′
A. Randell

assist: R. McCrorie

A. EmakhuD. McNamara
55′
66′
S. ArmstrongE. Riis
Z. SturgeJ. Bryan
73′
88′
S. TwineY. Hirakawa
Full Time

Match Statistics

Millwall had 42% possession against Bristol City's 58%. Millwall registered 8 shots (2 on target) while Bristol City managed 16 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 1–8. Fouls committed: 15–8.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Total Shots
8
16
Blocked Shots
4
8
Shots inside the Box
5
10
Shots outside the Box
3
6
Fouls
15
8
Corner Kicks
1
8
Offsides
0
3
Ball Possession
42%
58%
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
0
Total Passes
346
463
Accurate Passes
242
367
Pass Accuracy
70%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
0.96
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.67
-0.67

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Bristol City Head to Head Results· 22

Millwall and Bristol City have met 22 times — Millwall won 9, Bristol City won 8, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.36 per match (27 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2024.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
52 · 2.4/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
9/22 · 41%

Recent Meetings

06/12/25Championship
Match Details
04/03/25Championship
Match Details
17/08/24Championship
Match Details
01/01/24Championship
Match Details
12/08/23Championship
Match Details
29/12/22Championship
Match Details
15/10/22Championship
Match Details
02/01/22Championship
Match Details
29/09/21Championship
Match Details
01/05/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bristol City show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall5wins
1draws10 meetings
Bristol City4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.7%Draw 30.2%Away 33.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.323.252.95
Max2.363.373.05
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.4%28.3%31.3%
Public market40.0%28.6%31.5%

Millwall vs Bristol City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:10Bristol City
8Shots16
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Dec 202525/262.34/3.31/3.00
6 Dec 202525/262.13/3.42/3.33
4 Mar 202524/252.82/2.94/2.81
17 Aug 202424/252.02/3.24/4.03
1 Jan 202423/242.10/3.28/3.63
12 Aug 202323/241.83/3.55/4.18
29 Dec 202222/231.91/3.49/4.21
15 Oct 202222/232.48/3.18/2.99
2 Jan 202221/222.98/3.16/2.49
29 Sept 202121/222.07/3.17/3.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026