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Middlesbrough vs Southampton

4 January 2026 at 15:00Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Referee: Oliver Langford

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Southampton 4:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Whittaker 54′, S. Silvera 61′, M. Whittaker 66′, A. Browne 76′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Middlesbrough had 56% possession while Southampton held 44%. Middlesbrough had 22 shots (5 on target) compared to 16 (5 on target) for Southampton. Expected goals: Middlesbrough 2.27 — Southampton 1.12. Middlesbrough made 4 substitutions, Southampton made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Middlesbrough and Southampton — 4 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
M. Whittaker

assist: M. Targett

54′
61′
C. JanderC. Bragg
S. Silvera

assist: L. Ayling

61′
74′
R. ManningWelington
74′
T. FellowsE. Jelert
74′
A. ArmstrongC. Archer
D. BurgzorgA. Gilbert
82′
85′
J. QuarshieR. Stewart
H. HackneyM. Hamilton
90′
M. WhittakerS. Nypan
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Middlesbrough had 56% possession against Southampton's 44%. Middlesbrough registered 22 shots (5 on target) while Southampton managed 16 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 11–5. Fouls committed: 7–12.

Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
9
7
Total Shots
22
16
Blocked Shots
8
4
Shots inside the Box
14
11
Shots outside the Box
8
5
Fouls
7
12
Corner Kicks
11
5
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
0
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1
Total Passes
484
384
Accurate Passes
417
314
Pass Accuracy
86%
82%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
1.12
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.91
-1.91

Rivalry since 2011

Middlesbrough vs Southampton Head to Head Results· 8

Middlesbrough and Southampton have met 8 times — Middlesbrough won 2, Southampton won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Southampton leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 17 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (7 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2023.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
17 · 2.1/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

Recent Meetings

09/05/26Championship
Match Details
27/09/25Championship
Match Details
29/03/24Championship
Match Details
23/09/23Championship
Match Details
13/05/17Premier League
Match Details
11/12/16Premier League
Match Details
21/04/12Championship
Match Details
29/10/11Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Southampton show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough3wins
2draws6 meetings
Southampton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.2%Draw 27.6%Away 31.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.503.15
Max2.143.753.20
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market44.4%25.4%30.2%
Public market44.3%26.6%29.1%
Δ0.1%1.2%1.1%

Middlesbrough vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:00Southampton
22Shots16
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29/10/1111/121.91/3.48/3.94
4 Jan 202625/262.12/3.63/3.17
27 Sept 202525/262.34/3.41/2.90
29 Mar 202423/241.57/4.43/5.24
23 Sept 202323/242.50/3.42/2.68
21/04/1211/123.06/3.33/2.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Away Record: Southampton

W 131D 94L 97
Over 2.552
Goals scored482

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026