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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

21 January 2026 at 20:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Referee: Adam Herczeg

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Stoke City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by T. Rigo 15′, A. Browne 48′, T. Conway 59′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. Stoke City had 40% possession while Middlesbrough held 60%. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Stoke City 0.81 — Middlesbrough 1.22. Stoke City made 2 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Stoke City and Middlesbrough — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
T. Rigo

assist: L. Cisse

15′
Half Time
46′
A. GilbertD. Burgzorg
46′
S. SilveraL. Castledine
59′
M. ManhoefT. Seko
67′
B. PearsonE. Bocat
75′
79′
M. WhittakerS. Nypan
90+2′
T. ConwayD. Fry
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stoke City had 40% possession against Middlesbrough's 60%. Stoke City registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 16 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 11–10.

Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Total Shots
10
16
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots inside the Box
7
8
Shots outside the Box
3
8
Fouls
11
10
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
2
4
Ball Possession
40%
60%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
3
Total Passes
332
497
Accurate Passes
256
416
Pass Accuracy
77%
84%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
1.22
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.37
-0.37

Rivalry since 2016

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 18

Stoke City and Middlesbrough have met 18 times — Stoke City won 5, Middlesbrough won 7, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.17 per match (19 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–5 in 2024.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
39 · 2.2/match
Both scored
6/18 · 33%
Over 2.5
6/18 · 33%

Recent Meetings

30/09/25Championship
Match Details
25/02/25Championship
Match Details
28/09/24Championship
Match Details
27/08/24League Cup
Match Details
02/03/24Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
14/03/23Championship
Match Details
17/08/22Championship
Match Details
30/04/22Championship
Match Details
11/12/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 05 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City2wins
4draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.3%Draw 30.3%Away 43.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.302.30
Max3.003.302.30
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Middlesbrough
10Shots16
4Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Jan 202625/263.00/3.30/2.30
30 Sept 202525/261.85/3.50/4.24
25 Feb 202524/252.99/3.41/2.35
28 Sept 202424/251.62/4.04/5.12
2 Mar 202423/242.72/3.36/2.60
28 Oct 202323/241.76/3.87/4.46
14 Mar 202322/231.71/3.80/5.00
17 Aug 202222/232.67/3.21/2.77
30 Apr 202221/221.83/3.68/4.25
11 Dec 202121/222.42/3.12/3.17

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 311D 182L 243
Over 2.547
Goals scored1001

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026