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Bristol City vs Derby

30 January 2026 at 20:00Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
05
Away

Derby

Referee: Tom Nield

Match Summary

Derby defeated Bristol City 5:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by R. Brewster 13′, B. Brereton Diaz 16′, B. Clark 36′, P. Agyemang 66′, L. Salvesen 88′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Bristol City had 61% possession while Derby held 39%. Bristol City had 7 shots (1 on target) compared to 17 (7 on target) for Derby. Expected goals: Bristol City 0.23 — Derby 2.00. Bristol City made 4 substitutions, Derby made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Bristol City and Derby — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
13′
R. Brewster

assist: C. Elder

36′
B. Clark

assist: B. Brereton Diaz

Half Time
M. SykesNeto Borges
46′
S. BellS. Armstrong
46′
60′
L. TravisO. Fraulo
S. TwineD. Burgzorg
63′
66′
P. Agyemang

assist: J. Ward

70′
R. BrewsterJ. Banel
A. RandellS. Morsy
74′
78′
B. ClarkA. Weimann
78′
88′
L. Salvesen

assist: A. Weimann

Full Time

Match Statistics

Bristol City had 61% possession against Derby's 39%. Bristol City registered 7 shots (1 on target) while Derby managed 17 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–1. Fouls committed: 9–15.

Shots on Goal
1
7
Shots Off Goal
4
6
Total Shots
7
17
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
3
13
Shots outside the Box
4
4
Fouls
9
15
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
3
Ball Possession
61%
39%
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
1
Total Passes
554
364
Accurate Passes
456
284
Pass Accuracy
82%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.23
2.00
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.10
0.10

Rivalry since 2011

Bristol City vs Derby Head to Head Results· 21

Bristol City and Derby have met 21 times — Bristol City won 7, Derby won 8, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Derby leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 57 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.71 per match (25 for the home side, 32 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2017.

Drawn
6
·
8
wins
Total goals
57 · 2.7/match
Both scored
11/21 · 52%
Over 2.5
10/21 · 48%

Recent Meetings

22/08/25Championship
Match Details
04/01/25Championship
Match Details
31/08/24Championship
Match Details
23/04/22Championship
Match Details
04/12/21Championship
Match Details
30/01/21Championship
Match Details
21/11/20Championship
Match Details
12/02/20Championship
Match Details
20/08/19Championship
Match Details
27/04/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Derby show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Bristol City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol City6wins
1draws10 meetings
Derby3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Bristol City.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.5%Draw 30.3%Away 30.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.303.30
Max2.153.303.30
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Bristol City · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Bristol City (47%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol CityHalf-time:03Derby
7Shots17
1Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30 Jan 202625/262.15/3.30/3.30
22 Aug 202525/263.08/3.22/2.42
4 Jan 202524/251.93/3.31/4.17
31 Aug 202424/252.99/3.28/2.44
23 Apr 202221/222.09/3.46/3.54
4 Dec 202121/222.51/3.14/2.98
30 Jan 202120/211.93/3.38/4.31
21 Nov 202020/212.24/3.36/3.31
12 Feb 202019/202.25/3.29/3.36
20 Aug 201919/202.14/3.34/3.57

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Away Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026