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Bristol City vs Watford

27 February 2026 at 20:00Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
12
Referee: Lewis Smith

Match Summary

Watford defeated Bristol City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Kjerrumgaard 7′, S. Twine 36′, J. Ngakia 77′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Bristol City had 65% possession while Watford held 35%. Bristol City had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Watford. Expected goals: Bristol City 0.89 — Watford 0.99. Bristol City made 5 substitutions, Watford made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Bristol City and Watford — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
S. Twine

assist: A. Randell

36′
Half Time
S. TwineM. Bird
61′
E. RiisS. Armstrong
61′
69′
N. IrankundaT. Ince
69′
S. GoglichidzeM. Pollock
M. SykesC. Pring
76′
R. McCrorieG. Earthy
84′
86′
86′
N. MendyP. Ekwah
90+3′
I. LouzaM. Bola
Full Time

Match Statistics

Bristol City had 65% possession against Watford's 35%. Bristol City registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Watford managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 6–10.

Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Total Shots
11
11
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots inside the Box
6
5
Shots outside the Box
5
6
Fouls
6
10
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
65%
35%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
646
350
Accurate Passes
564
275
Pass Accuracy
87%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
0.99
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.10
-0.10

Rivalry since 2011

Bristol City vs Watford Head to Head Results· 18

Bristol City and Watford have met 18 times — Bristol City won 5, Watford won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Watford leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.83 per match (23 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bristol City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2026.

Drawn
7
·
6
wins
Total goals
51 · 2.8/match
Both scored
9/18 · 50%
Over 2.5
8/18 · 44%

Recent Meetings

10/01/26FA Cup
Match Details
07/11/25Championship
Match Details
05/04/25Championship
Match Details
26/11/24Championship
Match Details
20/01/24Championship
Match Details
26/12/23Championship
Match Details
15/04/23Championship
Match Details
12/11/22Championship
Match Details
13/02/21Championship
Match Details
25/11/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bristol City have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bristol City2wins
4draws10 meetings
Watford4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Watford.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.7%Draw 29.4%Away 37.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.402.65
Max2.403.402.65
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Bristol City (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Bristol CityHalf-time:11Watford
11Shots11
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Feb 202625/262.40/3.40/2.65
7 Nov 202525/262.01/3.40/3.60
5 Apr 202524/251.81/3.58/4.43
26 Nov 202424/252.23/3.41/3.31
20 Jan 202423/242.43/3.27/3.00
26 Dec 202323/241.96/3.39/4.07
15 Apr 202322/231.95/3.51/3.95
12 Nov 202222/233.03/3.36/2.37
13 Feb 202120/211.60/3.77/6.35
25 Nov 202020/213.57/3.24/2.18

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bristol City

W 267D 210L 305
Over 2.547
Goals scored963

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026