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Derby vs Blackburn

28 February 2026 at 12:30Pride Park, Derby
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Derby

31
Referee: Leigh Doughty

Match Summary

Derby defeated Blackburn 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by H. Carter 45′, B. Brereton Diaz 55′, M. Clarke 74′, R. Brewster 82′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Derby had 49% possession while Blackburn held 51%. Derby had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Blackburn. Expected goals: Derby 1.44 — Blackburn 0.90. Derby made 4 substitutions, Blackburn made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Derby and Blackburn — 4 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
45′
H. Carter

assist: Y. Ribeiro

Half Time
56′
A. ForshawK. Montgomery
69′
Y. RibeiroH. Pickering
69′
A. GudjohnsenM. Jorgensen
S. SzmodicsD. Ozoh
80′
80′
M. BaradjiD. De Neve
80′
H. CarterT. Gardner-Hickman
D. MurkinC. Forsyth
87′
M. ClarkeO. Fraulo
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Derby had 49% possession against Blackburn's 51%. Derby registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Blackburn managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–3. Fouls committed: 10–14.

Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
14
11
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
8
9
Shots outside the Box
6
2
Fouls
10
14
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
49%
51%
Yellow Cards
3
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
3
Total Passes
348
354
Accurate Passes
261
262
Pass Accuracy
75%
74%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
0.90
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.71
-0.71

Rivalry since 2012

Derby vs Blackburn Head to Head Results· 22

Derby and Blackburn have met 22 times — Derby won 6, Blackburn won 11, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 22 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (22 for the home side, 33 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2024.

6
wins
Drawn
5
·
11
wins
Total goals
55 · 2.5/match
Both scored
11/22 · 50%
Over 2.5
11/22 · 50%

Recent Meetings

08/11/25Championship
Match Details
08/03/25Championship
Match Details
09/08/24Championship
Match Details
15/03/22Championship
Match Details
30/10/21Championship
Match Details
16/04/21Championship
Match Details
26/09/20Championship
Match Details
08/03/20Championship
Match Details
07/12/19Championship
Match Details
09/04/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Blackburn show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Derby

LWLWLW

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Blackburn dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Derby4wins
0draws10 meetings
Blackburn6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.4

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Derby.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 30.3%Away 30.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.303.30
Max2.103.303.30
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Derby · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Derby
Result vs. Market: Derby (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

DerbyHalf-time:01Blackburn
14Shots11
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Feb 202625/262.10/3.30/3.30
8 Nov 202525/261.91/3.30/3.90
8 Mar 202524/252.76/3.07/2.75
9 Aug 202424/252.27/3.40/3.18
15 Mar 202221/221.83/3.25/5.07
30 Oct 202121/222.82/3.22/2.57
16 Apr 202120/212.11/3.34/3.61
26 Sept 202020/212.79/3.27/2.61
8 Mar 202019/202.37/3.20/3.18
7 Dec 201919/202.04/3.53/3.76

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Derby

W 333D 233L 308
Over 2.548
Goals scored1153

Away Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026