Championship· Season 2025
Match Summary
Middlesbrough defeated Birmingham 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Targett 13′, M. Targett 26′, M. Ducksch 48′, D. Strelec 60′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Birmingham had 60% possession while Middlesbrough held 40%. Birmingham had 11 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Birmingham 0.61 — Middlesbrough 1.07. Birmingham made 5 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Birmingham and Middlesbrough — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Morris
assist: H. Hackney
assist: J. Stansfield
assist: L. Ayling
Match Statistics
Birmingham had 60% possession against Middlesbrough's 40%. Birmingham registered 11 shots (7 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 11–12.
Rivalry since 2011
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results· 25
Birmingham and Middlesbrough have met 25 times — Birmingham won 6, Middlesbrough won 14, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 14 victories from 25 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.44 per match (24 for the home side, 37 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Middlesbrough are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2020.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Middlesbrough show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Middlesbrough dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (38%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.57 |
| Max | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.57 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Birmingham
Away Record: Middlesbrough
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 12 May 2026