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Millwall vs Blackburn

14 March 2026 at 15:00The Den, London
12
Referee: Andrew Kitchen

Match Summary

Blackburn defeated Millwall 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by L. Cundle 54′, M. Jorgensen 80′, M. Jorgensen 85′. 1 yellow card was shown, 1 red card. Millwall had 47% possession while Blackburn held 53%. Millwall had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 20 (4 on target) for Blackburn. Expected goals: Millwall 1.38 — Blackburn 2.32. Millwall made 5 substitutions, Blackburn made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Millwall and Blackburn — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
43′
H. CarterT. Atcheson
Half Time
D. McNamaraM. Ivanovic
46′
L. Cundle

assist: F. Azeez

54′
62′
Y. RibeiroM. Jorgensen
62′
T. CantwellO. Afolayan
B. BannanJ. Bryan
64′
76′
A. ForshawM. Baradji
80′
M. Jorgensen

assist: R. Alebiosu

B. MitchellW. Smallbone
84′
J. CoburnD. Mazou-Sacko
84′
85′
M. Jorgensen

assist: R. Morishita

Full Time

Match Statistics

Millwall had 47% possession against Blackburn's 53%. Millwall registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Blackburn managed 20 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 9–7. Fouls committed: 8–7.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Total Shots
9
20
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots inside the Box
6
14
Shots outside the Box
3
6
Fouls
8
7
Corner Kicks
9
7
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
47%
53%
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
361
411
Accurate Passes
246
320
Pass Accuracy
68%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
2.32
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.34
0.34

Rivalry since 2012

Millwall vs Blackburn Head to Head Results· 23

Millwall and Blackburn have met 23 times — Millwall won 4, Blackburn won 12, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Blackburn leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 23 meetings. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (21 for the home side, 35 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

Drawn
7
·
12
wins
Total goals
56 · 2.4/match
Both scored
11/23 · 48%
Over 2.5
9/23 · 39%

Recent Meetings

20/12/25Championship
Match Details
18/04/25Championship
Match Details
21/12/24Championship
Match Details
05/03/24Championship
Match Details
24/10/23Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
01/10/22Championship
Match Details
08/03/22Championship
Match Details
14/08/21Championship
Match Details
06/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Blackburn show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Blackburn dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall1wins
3draws10 meetings
Blackburn6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.2%Draw 28.6%Away 19.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.505.25
Max1.663.505.25
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite:Millwall · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Blackburn
Result vs. Market: Millwall (60%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:00Blackburn
9Shots20
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/261.66/3.50/5.25
20 Dec 202525/262.15/3.33/3.45
18 Apr 202524/252.34/3.13/3.25
21 Dec 202424/252.34/3.19/3.20
5 Mar 202423/242.22/3.28/3.39
24 Oct 202323/242.46/3.45/2.88
8 May 202322/231.90/3.69/3.89
1 Oct 202222/232.26/3.24/3.37
8 Mar 202221/222.13/3.00/4.06
14 Aug 202121/222.45/3.17/3.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026