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Stoke City vs Watford

14 March 2026 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke
31
Referee: Leigh Doughty

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Watford 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by M. Manhoef 28′, M. Manhoef 77′, N. Irankunda 81′, S. Gallagher 85′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Stoke City had 45% possession while Watford held 55%. Stoke City had 19 shots (12 on target) compared to 15 (4 on target) for Watford. Expected goals: Stoke City 1.66 — Watford 1.83. Stoke City made 5 substitutions, Watford made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Stoke City and Watford — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
28′
Half Time
E. BocatB. Gibson
70′
71′
T. InceJ. Lawson
71′
N. MendyP. Ekwah
J. BaeB. Pearson
79′
M. ManhoefJ. Rak-Sakyi
79′
81′
N. Irankunda

assist: G. Chakvetadze

S. N'ZonziT. Seko
83′
86′
S. MfuniE. Bove
86′
I. LouzaL. Kjerrumgaard
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stoke City had 45% possession against Watford's 55%. Stoke City registered 19 shots (12 on target) while Watford managed 15 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–7. Fouls committed: 11–13.

Shots on Goal
12
4
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Total Shots
19
15
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots inside the Box
13
9
Shots outside the Box
6
6
Fouls
11
13
Corner Kicks
6
7
Offsides
2
0
Ball Possession
45%
55%
Yellow Cards
4
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
9
Total Passes
318
391
Accurate Passes
227
306
Pass Accuracy
71%
78%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
1.83
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.82
0.82

Rivalry since 2015

Stoke City vs Watford Head to Head Results· 16

Stoke City and Watford have met 16 times — Stoke City won 6, Watford won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Watford leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (14 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (31%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Watford are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2020.

Drawn
3
·
7
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.1/match
Both scored
5/16 · 31%
Over 2.5
6/16 · 38%

Recent Meetings

20/12/25Championship
Match Details
01/03/25Championship
Match Details
17/08/24Championship
Match Details
29/12/23Championship
Match Details
19/08/23Championship
Match Details
08/05/23Championship
Match Details
02/10/22Championship
Match Details
21/09/21League Cup
Match Details
22/01/21Championship
Match Details
04/11/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Watford show 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Watford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City2wins
2draws10 meetings
Watford6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 8.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.9%Draw 30.3%Away 39.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.573.302.55
Max2.573.302.55
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Watford (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Watford
19Shots15
12Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Mar 202625/262.57/3.30/2.55
20 Dec 202525/262.06/3.33/3.33
1 Mar 202524/252.46/3.34/2.89
17 Aug 202424/252.64/3.24/2.74
29 Dec 202323/242.15/3.35/3.44
19 Aug 202323/242.22/3.31/3.20
8 May 202322/232.35/3.39/2.97
2 Oct 202222/232.50/3.26/2.93
22 Jan 202120/213.41/3.08/2.33
4 Nov 202020/212.20/3.07/3.74

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026