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Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons

23 February 2013 at 15:00Brunton Park

Match Summary

Carlisle and Milton Keynes Dons drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2012.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 9

Carlisle and Milton Keynes Dons have met 9 times — Carlisle won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 5, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (11 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (44%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Milton Keynes Dons are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2019.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
4/9 · 44%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Meetings

25/03/25League Two
Match Details
24/08/24League Two
Match Details
16/02/19League Two
Match Details
08/12/18League Two
Match Details
28/01/14League One
Match Details
22/10/13League One
Match Details
01/09/12League One
Match Details
27/03/12League One
Match Details
03/09/11League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Carlisle dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle6wins
1draws10 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.9%Draw 29.8%Away 42.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.102.34
Max3.193.502.40
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.5%28.0%41.5%
Public market31.5%27.9%40.7%
Δ1.0%0.1%0.9%

Carlisle vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
12Shots9
6Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22/10/1313/141.59/4.19/5.84
28/01/1413/143.52/3.50/2.13
27/03/1211/121.69/3.62/4.94
24/11/0909/101.66/3.54/5.47
21/08/1010/112.36/3.27/2.95
9 Jan 201212/131.77/3.66/4.67
23/02/1312/133.13/3.36/2.38
13/02/1009/102.64/3.26/2.46
4 Sept 201110/111.76/3.50/4.63
9 Mar 201111/122.54/3.21/2.76

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 135D 109L 170
Over 2.550
Goals scored502

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026