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Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town

1 November 2014 at 15:00Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League One 2014.

Rivalry since 2012

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town Head to Head Results· 18

Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town have met 18 times — Milton Keynes Dons won 11, Swindon Town won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (35 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Total goals
55 · 3.1/match
Both scored
11/18 · 61%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26League Two
Match Details
26/12/25League Two
Match Details
11/11/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
03/05/25League Two
Match Details
09/11/24League Two
Match Details
17/02/24League Two
Match Details
28/10/23League Two
Match Details
24/04/21League One
Match Details
29/12/20League One
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Milton Keynes Dons have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Swindon Town show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Milton Keynes Dons7wins
2draws10 meetings
Swindon Town1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.7%Draw 27.9%Away 28.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.093.303.50
Max2.103.743.60
Market favourite:Milton Keynes Dons · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.5%26.0%27.5%
Public market46.5%26.4%27.1%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Milton Keynes Dons (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Milton Keynes DonsHalf-time:01Swindon Town
18Shots7
7Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Apr 202120/211.62/3.86/5.36
29 Dec 202020/213.52/3.46/2.09
30/12/1616/171.82/3.71/4.58
4 Aug 201716/173.11/3.32/2.42
11 Jan 201414/152.10/3.58/3.54
4 Apr 201514/152.60/3.35/2.81
9 Jul 201313/142.37/3.33/3.26
3 Aug 201413/142.55/3.38/2.86
25/08/1212/132.28/3.24/3.10
4 Sept 201312/132.75/3.27/2.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Away Record: Swindon Town

W 189D 146L 217
Over 2.555
Goals scored740

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026