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Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

4 April 2015 at 12:15County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Swindon Town 3:0. The match was played in League One 2014.

Rivalry since 2012

Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 18

Swindon Town and Milton Keynes Dons have met 18 times — Swindon Town won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 11, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (21 for the home side, 34 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2023.

Total goals
55 · 3.1/match
Both scored
12/18 · 67%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Meetings

14/03/26League Two
Match Details
26/12/25League Two
Match Details
11/11/25EFL Trophy
Match Details
03/05/25League Two
Match Details
09/11/24League Two
Match Details
17/02/24League Two
Match Details
28/10/23League Two
Match Details
24/04/21League One
Match Details
29/12/20League One
Match Details
09/02/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Milton Keynes Dons dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town1wins
2draws10 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.5%Draw 29.9%Away 35.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.603.202.75
Max2.603.452.88
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.3%28.1%34.5%
Public market37.5%28.7%33.8%

Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:00Milton Keynes Dons
11Shots12
2Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Apr 202120/211.62/3.86/5.36
29 Dec 202020/213.52/3.46/2.09
30/12/1616/171.82/3.71/4.58
4 Aug 201716/173.11/3.32/2.42
11 Jan 201414/152.10/3.58/3.54
4 Apr 201514/152.60/3.35/2.81
9 Jul 201313/142.37/3.33/3.26
3 Aug 201413/142.55/3.38/2.86
25/08/1212/132.28/3.24/3.10
4 Sept 201312/132.75/3.27/2.72

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 189D 146L 217
Over 2.555
Goals scored740

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026