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Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers

20 September 2016 at 19:45County Ground, Swindon
Referee: Oliver Langford

Match Summary

Bristol Rovers defeated Swindon Town 2:1. The match was played in League One 2016.

Rivalry since 2011

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results· 13

Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers have met 13 times — Swindon Town won 6, Bristol Rovers won 3, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (19 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Swindon Town are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2017.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
30 · 2.3/match
Both scored
5/13 · 38%
Over 2.5
5/13 · 38%

Recent Meetings

28/02/26League Two
Match Details
13/12/25League Two
Match Details
08/10/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
18/10/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
22/01/22League Two
Match Details
02/10/21League Two
Match Details
23/03/21League One
Match Details
21/11/20League One
Match Details
13/11/19EFL Trophy
Match Details
08/11/17EFL Trophy
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Bristol Rovers show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Mar 202120/212.10/3.38/3.57
Match Details
21 Nov 202020/212.30/3.33/3.13
Match Details
20/09/1616/172.78/3.44/2.60
28/01/1716/171.75/3.89/4.76
25/04/0908/091.88/3.40/3.76
22/01/1110/112.76/3.24/2.50
22/11/0808/091.96/3.36/3.64
12 Dec 200909/102.26/3.23/2.99
10 Nov 201010/111.98/3.31/3.80
3 Jun 201009/101.70/3.50/4.66

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.0%Draw 29.1%Away 38.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.703.302.55
Max2.883.522.65
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.4%27.7%36.9%
Public market33.9%27.9%38.3%
Δ1.5%0.1%1.4%

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bristol Rovers
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:10Bristol Rovers
18Shots14
6Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 189D 146L 217
Over 2.555
Goals scored740

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026