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Shrewsbury vs Millwall

4 April 2017 at 19:45New Meadow, Shrewsbury
12
Referee: Mark Haywood

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Shrewsbury 2:1. The match was played in League One 2016.

Rivalry since 2015

Shrewsbury vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 3

Shrewsbury and Millwall have met 3 times — Shrewsbury won 1, Millwall won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Millwall leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (3 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2016.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
2/3 · 67%

Recent Meetings

10/12/16League One
Match Details
09/04/16League One
Match Details
08/08/15League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Shrewsbury have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Shrewsbury1wins
0draws4 meetings
Millwall3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 26.4%Draw 29.5%Away 47.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.302.09
Max3.903.482.10
Market favourite:Millwall · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.3%28.0%46.7%
Public market25.0%28.6%46.4%

Shrewsbury vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ShrewsburyHalf-time:01Millwall
9Shots12
3Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Oct 201616/171.58/4.12/6.27
4 Apr 201716/173.78/3.39/2.10
8 Aug 201515/162.40/3.26/3.19
4 Sept 201615/161.59/3.81/5.50

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Shrewsbury

W 158D 148L 234
Over 2.543
Goals scored569

Away Record: Millwall

W 126D 61L 89
Over 2.548
Goals scored382

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026