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Bury vs Milton Keynes Dons

30 September 2017 at 15:00Gigg Lane, Bury
Referee: Graham Salisbury

Match Summary

Milton Keynes Dons defeated Bury 2:0. The match was played in League One 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Bury vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 9

Bury and Milton Keynes Dons have met 9 times — Bury won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Milton Keynes Dons leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (11 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2019.

2
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

12/01/19League Two
Match Details
11/08/18League Two
Match Details
17/03/18League One
Match Details
14/02/17League One
Match Details
27/09/16League One
Match Details
12/01/13League One
Match Details
22/09/12League One
Match Details
21/02/12League One
Match Details
24/09/11League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bury have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bury1wins
3draws8 meetings
Milton Keynes Dons4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 40.8%Draw 30.4%Away 34.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.102.80
Max2.513.403.01
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market38.8%28.8%32.4%
Public market39.0%27.5%33.4%
Δ0.2%1.3%1.1%

Bury vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Milton Keynes Dons
Result vs. Market: Bury (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BuryHalf-time:01Milton Keynes Dons
26Shots18
11Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30/09/1717/182.45/3.29/2.87
17/03/1817/182.59/3.31/2.78
27/09/1616/172.02/3.63/3.76
14/02/1716/173.67/3.62/2.04
22/09/1212/133.97/3.38/1.99
1 Dec 201312/131.57/4.10/6.35
24/09/1111/123.50/3.25/2.09
21/02/1211/121.50/4.21/6.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bury

W 61D 60L 109
Over 2.553
Goals scored263

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026