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Luton vs Accrington ST

23 October 2018 at 19:45Kenilworth Road, Luton
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Luton

41
Referee: Christopher Sarginson

Match Summary

Luton defeated Accrington ST 4:1. The match was played in League One 2018.

Rivalry since 2014

Luton vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 10

Luton and Accrington ST have met 10 times — Luton won 5, Accrington ST won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Luton leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 27 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.70 per match (17 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–4 in 2017.

5
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
27 · 2.7/match
Both scored
5/10 · 50%
Over 2.5
5/10 · 50%

Recent Meetings

20/04/19League One
Match Details
10/03/18League Two
Match Details
07/10/17League Two
Match Details
29/04/17League Two
Match Details
07/01/17FA Cup
Match Details
12/11/16League Two
Match Details
09/04/16League Two
Match Details
08/08/15League Two
Match Details
28/02/15League Two
Match Details
23/08/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 14 v 2017

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Luton have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Luton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton2wins
0draws2 meetings
Accrington ST0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.0%Draw 24.4%Away 19.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.664.004.80
Max1.674.205.25
Market favourite:Luton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.8%23.6%18.6%
Public market58.4%23.1%18.5%

Luton vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:11Accrington ST
11Shots6
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Apr 201918/194.92/3.85/1.67
23 Oct 201818/191.67/4.10/5.08

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 88D 45L 51
Over 2.554
Goals scored288

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 70D 57L 92
Over 2.551
Goals scored262

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026