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AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers

21 September 2019 at 15:00The Cherry Red Records Stadium, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey

Match Summary

Bristol Rovers defeated AFC Wimbledon 3:1. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results· 18

AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers have met 18 times — AFC Wimbledon won 5, Bristol Rovers won 9, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Bristol Rovers leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (16 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (39%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (39%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2020.

Drawn
4
·
Total goals
40 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/18 · 39%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Meetings

13/03/21League One
Match Details
12/01/21EFL Trophy
Match Details
05/12/20League One
Match Details
26/12/19League One
Match Details
19/04/19League One
Match Details
23/10/18League One
Match Details
17/02/18League One
Match Details
18/11/17League One
Match Details
08/04/17League One
Match Details
31/12/16League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AFC Wimbledon have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Bristol Rovers show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon3wins
2draws10 meetings
Bristol Rovers5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Bristol Rovers.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.0%Draw 30.3%Away 39.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.252.50
Max2.903.402.60
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.3%29.6%37.1%
Public market33.9%28.6%37.4%

AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bristol Rovers
Result vs. Market: Bristol Rovers (39%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:11Bristol Rovers
11Shots10
6Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

13 Mar 202120/212.12/3.51/3.35
5 Dec 202020/212.18/3.35/3.37
26 Dec 201919/201.72/4.02/4.74
21 Sept 201919/202.86/3.30/2.57
19 Apr 201918/192.44/3.25/3.05
23 Oct 201818/192.47/3.36/2.97
18/11/1717/182.17/3.40/3.53
17/02/1817/182.53/3.35/2.91
31/12/1616/172.24/3.45/3.33
4 Aug 201716/172.91/3.38/2.53

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 80D 96L 135
Over 2.548
Goals scored334

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026