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Sunderland vs Milton Keynes Dons

28 September 2019 at 15:00Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Match Summary

Sunderland defeated Milton Keynes Dons 2:1. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2012

Sunderland vs Milton Keynes Dons Head to Head Results· 8

Sunderland and Milton Keynes Dons have met 8 times — Sunderland won 5, Milton Keynes Dons won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Sunderland leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 8 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.13 per match (16 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2013.

Total goals
25 · 3.1/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
6/8 · 75%

Recent Meetings

19/02/22League One
Match Details
14/08/21League One
Match Details
06/02/21League One
Match Details
02/02/21EFL Trophy
Match Details
14/11/20League One
Match Details
18/01/20League One
Match Details
27/08/13League Cup
Match Details
25/09/12League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Milton Keynes Dons show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Milton Keynes Dons.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

19 Feb 202221/222.22/3.47/3.16
Match Details
14 Aug 202121/223.32/3.32/2.19
Match Details
6 Feb 202120/213.15/3.21/2.35
Match Details
14 Nov 202020/211.72/3.62/4.94
Match Details
18 Jan 202019/203.81/3.60/1.99
Match Details
28 Sept 201919/201.68/3.82/5.38
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.5%Draw 26.2%Away 18.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.805.00
Max1.713.876.00
Over 2.5: 60.2%Under 2.5: 46.5%
Market favourite:Sunderland · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.4%24.9%18.7%
Public market58.4%25.5%16.1%
Δ2.0%0.6%2.6%

Sunderland vs Milton Keynes Dons — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Sunderland
Result vs. Market: Sunderland (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SunderlandHalf-time:20Milton Keynes Dons
18Shots10
6Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Sunderland

W 82D 59L 33
Over 2.547
Goals scored277

Away Record: Milton Keynes Dons

W 267D 167L 245
Over 2.549
Goals scored944

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026