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Burton Albion vs Southend

3 December 2019 at 19:45Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: D. Drysdale

Match Summary

Burton Albion and Southend drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

Burton Albion vs Southend Head to Head Results· 15

Burton Albion and Southend have met 15 times — Burton Albion won 7, Southend won 6, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (17 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2020.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
34 · 2.3/match
Both scored
6/15 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

22/02/20League One
Match Details
22/04/19League One
Match Details
02/10/18League One
Match Details
22/02/16League One
Match Details
03/10/15League One
Match Details
18/03/15League Two
Match Details
19/12/14League Two
Match Details
17/05/14League Two
Match Details
11/05/14League Two
Match Details
03/05/14League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Southend show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion2wins
1draws6 meetings
Southend3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

83%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (73%) — the odds may underestimate Southend.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 76.3%Draw 17.4%Away 10.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.295.509.44
Max1.336.0010.00
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 40.0%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market73.3%16.6%10.2%
Public market73.4%16.3%10.3%

Burton Albion vs Southend — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (76%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:01Southend
9Shots8
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

22 Feb 202019/204.37/4.10/1.76
3 Dec 201919/201.31/5.76/9.65
22 Apr 201918/192.84/3.30/2.56
2 Oct 201818/192.49/3.32/2.97
10 Mar 201515/162.13/3.45/3.58
22/02/1615/163.03/3.27/2.43

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Southend

W 147D 94L 162
Over 2.553
Goals scored531

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026