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Bolton vs Burton Albion

1 January 2020 at 15:00University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
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Bolton

34
Referee: S. Oldham

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Bolton 4:3. The match was played in League One 2019.

Rivalry since 2015

Bolton vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 14

Bolton and Burton Albion have met 14 times — Bolton won 5, Burton Albion won 5, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.29 per match (14 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2022.

5
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
32 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/14 · 57%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Meetings

27/01/26League One
Match Details
11/10/25League One
Match Details
08/03/25League One
Match Details
19/10/24League One
Match Details
01/01/24League One
Match Details
26/08/23League One
Match Details
18/04/23League One
Match Details
25/10/22League One
Match Details
15/02/22League One
Match Details
06/09/21League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (26%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202625/261.42/4.00/7.00
Match Details
11 Oct 202525/264.37/4.01/1.67
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8 Mar 202524/253.66/3.56/1.98
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19 Oct 202424/251.39/4.80/7.59
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1 Jan 202423/241.35/4.85/8.67
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26 Aug 202323/243.78/3.50/1.93
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18 Apr 202322/233.37/3.42/2.15
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25 Oct 202222/231.70/3.80/4.88
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15 Feb 202221/222.63/3.43/2.62
Match Details
6 Sept 202121/222.12/3.44/3.30
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 27.3%Draw 28.8%Away 49.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.603.432.00
Max3.773.502.07
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market25.5%28.0%46.5%
Public market26.1%26.9%47.0%
Δ0.6%1.2%0.6%

Bolton vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:23Burton Albion
9Shots18
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026