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Swindon Town vs Accrington ST

17 November 2020 at 19:00The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Referee: T. Nield

Match Summary

Accrington ST defeated Swindon Town 3:0. The match was played in League One 2020.

Rivalry since 2011

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST Head to Head Results· 11

Swindon Town and Accrington ST have met 11 times — Swindon Town won 4, Accrington ST won 4, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.18 per match (18 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (73%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Accrington ST are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2023.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
35 · 3.2/match
Both scored
6/11 · 55%
Over 2.5
8/11 · 73%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26League Two
Match Details
18/10/25League Two
Match Details
22/03/25League Two
Match Details
16/11/24League Two
Match Details
12/03/24League Two
Match Details
28/11/23League Two
Match Details
06/03/21League One
Match Details
05/05/18League Two
Match Details
06/02/18League Two
Match Details
25/02/12League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Accrington ST show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Accrington ST dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Accrington ST.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

6 Mar 202120/211.77/3.65/4.60
Match Details
17 Nov 202020/212.43/3.39/2.87
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 29.5%Away 34.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.403.252.80
Max2.483.522.95
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.3%27.7%33.0%
Public market39.3%27.8%32.9%

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Accrington ST
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:03Accrington ST
13Shots18
2Shots on target8

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 189D 146L 217
Over 2.555
Goals scored740

Away Record: Accrington ST

W 70D 57L 92
Over 2.551
Goals scored262

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026