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AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion

2 October 2021 at 15:00The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London

Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon and Burton Albion drew 1:1. The match was played in League One 2021.

Rivalry since 2011

AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 17

AFC Wimbledon and Burton Albion have met 17 times — AFC Wimbledon won 3, Burton Albion won 8, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 45 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.65 per match (20 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burton Albion are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–2 in 2012.

Drawn
6
·
Total goals
45 · 2.6/match
Both scored
8/17 · 47%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Meetings

11/04/26League One
Match Details
25/10/25League One
Match Details
22/01/22League One
Match Details
09/03/21League One
Match Details
24/10/20League One
Match Details
28/01/20League One
Match Details
22/10/19League One
Match Details
09/02/19League One
Match Details
01/09/18League One
Match Details
10/02/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 62 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AFC Wimbledon have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burton Albion dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

AFC Wimbledon0wins
4draws10 meetings
Burton Albion6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.6%Draw 29.5%Away 31.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.303.00
Max2.273.483.25
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:AFC Wimbledon · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.2%27.5%30.2%
Public market42.5%28.1%29.4%

AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: AFC Wimbledon (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AFC WimbledonHalf-time:00Burton Albion
14Shots8
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Apr 202625/261.76/3.50/4.50
25 Oct 202525/261.87/3.35/4.13
22 Jan 202221/222.03/3.48/3.63
2 Oct 202121/222.24/3.39/3.14
9 Mar 202120/212.69/3.29/2.62
24 Oct 202020/212.41/3.38/2.90
28 Jan 202019/203.75/3.73/1.97
22 Oct 201919/201.53/4.41/6.12
9 Feb 201918/193.35/3.46/2.20
1 Sept 201818/192.53/3.21/3.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AFC Wimbledon

W 80D 96L 135
Over 2.548
Goals scored334

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026