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Burton Albion vs Forest Green

1 October 2022 at 15:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: S. Gill

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Forest Green 3:2. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2022

Burton Albion vs Forest Green Head to Head Results· 1

Burton Albion and Forest Green have met 1 times — Burton Albion won 1, Forest Green won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2022. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 1 meeting. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2022.

Drawn
0
·
Total goals
3 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

29/12/22League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Forest Green show 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Burton Albion dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
2 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

29 Dec 202222/232.65/3.43/2.61
Match Details
1 Oct 202222/231.89/3.62/4.10
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.0%Draw 27.6%Away 24.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.504.00
Max1.933.754.20
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.4%25.9%23.7%
Public market51.2%26.3%22.5%
Δ0.8%0.4%1.1%

Burton Albion vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:10Forest Green
14Shots8
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Forest Green

W 6D 9L 31
Over 2.548
Goals scored31

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026