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Morecambe vs Port Vale

21 February 2023 at 19:45Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
10
Referee: R. Joyce

Match Summary

Morecambe defeated Port Vale 1:0. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Morecambe vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 15

Morecambe and Port Vale have met 15 times — Morecambe won 5, Port Vale won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 29 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.93 per match (13 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (27%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Port Vale are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2019.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
29 · 1.9/match
Both scored
4/15 · 27%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

22/03/25League Two
Match Details
16/11/24League Two
Match Details
26/12/22League One
Match Details
10/04/21League Two
Match Details
03/10/20League Two
Match Details
14/01/20League Two
Match Details
05/10/19League Two
Match Details
16/02/19League Two
Match Details
08/12/18League Two
Match Details
03/02/18League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Morecambe have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Morecambe

LLLDWL

Port Vale

LWLLDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Morecambe1wins
0draws2 meetings
Port Vale1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (28%) — the odds may underestimate Morecambe.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.0%Draw 31.3%Away 45.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.403.102.20
Max3.503.282.27
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.9%29.5%42.6%
Public market27.1%29.7%43.2%

Morecambe vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Morecambe
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MorecambeHalf-time:00Port Vale
9Shots13
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21 Feb 202322/233.45/3.19/2.22
26 Dec 202222/231.60/3.87/5.83

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Morecambe

W 20D 26L 46
Over 2.554
Goals scored104

Away Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026