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Port Vale vs Burton Albion

18 March 2023 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: S. Allison

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Port Vale 3:2. The match was played in League One 2022.

Rivalry since 2011

Port Vale vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 17

Port Vale and Burton Albion have met 17 times — Port Vale won 7, Burton Albion won 5, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 44 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.59 per match (25 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (41%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burton Albion are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2013.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
44 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/17 · 41%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26League One
Match Details
16/08/25League One
Match Details
27/07/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
23/03/24League One
Match Details
14/11/23FA Cup
Match Details
04/11/23FA Cup
Match Details
19/09/23League One
Match Details
20/08/22League One
Match Details
04/12/21FA Cup
Match Details
13/08/19League Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 71 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale2wins
2draws8 meetings
Burton Albion4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.8%Draw 28.8%Away 24.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.254.00
Max1.953.604.27
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.1%27.2%22.6%
Public market49.8%26.4%23.8%
Δ0.3%0.8%1.1%

Port Vale vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (52%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:11Burton Albion
10Shots14
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Feb 202625/262.30/3.40/2.85
16 Aug 202525/263.04/3.29/2.29
23 Mar 202423/242.27/3.23/3.31
19 Sept 202323/241.90/3.41/3.94
18 Mar 202322/231.93/3.47/4.09
20 Aug 202222/232.84/3.30/2.51
24/10/1515/162.05/3.47/3.83
19/03/1615/163.24/3.27/2.37

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026