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Port Vale vs Cheltenham

28 October 2023 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
12
Referee: M. Corlett

Match Summary

Cheltenham defeated Port Vale 2:1. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Port Vale vs Cheltenham Head to Head Results· 18

Port Vale and Cheltenham have met 18 times — Port Vale won 4, Cheltenham won 6, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Cheltenham leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (24 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (72%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Cheltenham are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

Drawn
8
·
Total goals
52 · 2.9/match
Both scored
13/18 · 72%
Over 2.5
10/18 · 56%

Recent Meetings

01/01/25League Two
Match Details
03/12/24League Two
Match Details
17/02/24League One
Match Details
28/01/23League One
Match Details
03/09/22League One
Match Details
06/03/21League Two
Match Details
27/10/20League Two
Match Details
07/03/20League Two
Match Details
21/12/19League Two
Match Details
30/11/19FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Cheltenham show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale2wins
3draws8 meetings
Cheltenham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Cheltenham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.8%Draw 26.1%Away 19.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.673.754.80
Max1.683.955.50
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market57.4%24.4%18.1%
Public market57.2%25.5%17.4%
Δ0.3%1.0%0.8%

Port Vale vs Cheltenham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cheltenham
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (60%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:11Cheltenham
16Shots9
5Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Feb 202423/241.99/3.51/3.74
28 Oct 202323/241.67/3.83/5.21
28 Jan 202322/232.98/3.20/2.48
3 Sept 202222/231.89/3.60/4.05
8 Dec 200606/072.25/3.23/2.80
3 Jun 200706/071.80/3.27/3.99
1 Feb 200807/082.08/3.20/3.19
10 Feb 200707/082.13/3.26/3.08

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Away Record: Cheltenham

W 76D 70L 130
Over 2.548
Goals scored294

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026