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Cheltenham vs Oxford United

25 November 2023 at 15:00Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
Referee: S. Simpson

Match Summary

Cheltenham defeated Oxford United 2:0. The match was played in League One 2023.

Rivalry since 2011

Cheltenham vs Oxford United Head to Head Results· 15

Cheltenham and Oxford United have met 15 times — Cheltenham won 5, Oxford United won 5, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 40 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (19 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Oxford United are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2012.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
40 · 2.7/match
Both scored
10/15 · 67%
Over 2.5
8/15 · 53%

Recent Meetings

09/03/24League One
Match Details
25/04/23League One
Match Details
27/08/22League One
Match Details
01/01/22League One
Match Details
18/09/21League One
Match Details
03/01/15League Two
Match Details
29/11/14League Two
Match Details
02/09/14EFL Trophy
Match Details
11/03/14League Two
Match Details
14/09/13League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Cheltenham have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Oxford United show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (21%) — the odds may underestimate Cheltenham.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

9 Mar 202423/241.84/3.62/4.23
Match Details
25 Nov 202323/244.40/3.71/1.72
Match Details
25 Apr 202322/231.60/3.85/6.03
Match Details
27 Aug 202222/233.26/3.61/2.14
Match Details
1 Jan 202221/221.60/3.86/5.66
Match Details
18 Sept 202121/222.73/3.24/2.58
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 22.7%Draw 27.0%Away 58.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.333.601.69
Max4.503.901.73
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 50.5%
Market favourite:Oxford United · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market20.9%25.1%54.0%
Public market21.0%24.3%54.7%

Cheltenham vs Oxford United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cheltenham
Result vs. Market: Oxford United (58%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CheltenhamHalf-time:10Oxford United
17Shots20
4Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Cheltenham

W 76D 70L 130
Over 2.548
Goals scored294

Away Record: Oxford United

W 144D 87L 126
Over 2.555
Goals scored532

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026