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Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers

5 October 2024 at 15:00Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire

Match Summary

Bristol Rovers defeated Burton Albion 3:1. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers Head to Head Results· 16

Burton Albion and Bristol Rovers have met 16 times — Burton Albion won 8, Bristol Rovers won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 16 meetings. A combined 44 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.75 per match (19 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 7–1 in 2012.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
44 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/16 · 50%
Over 2.5
8/16 · 50%

Recent Meetings

15/02/25League One
Match Details
10/02/24League One
Match Details
21/10/23League One
Match Details
18/02/23League One
Match Details
06/08/22League One
Match Details
02/03/21League One
Match Details
17/10/20League One
Match Details
31/08/19League One
Match Details
01/01/19League One
Match Details
13/10/18League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 71 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Bristol Rovers show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burton Albion dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burton Albion6wins
1draws10 meetings
Bristol Rovers3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.7%Draw 29.0%Away 33.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.403.00
Max2.313.503.02
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Burton Albion · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.1%27.5%31.4%
Public market41.5%27.4%31.1%

Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bristol Rovers
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Burton AlbionHalf-time:10Bristol Rovers
11Shots15
6Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

15 Feb 202524/252.39/3.30/2.96
5 Oct 202424/252.29/3.45/3.01
10 Feb 202423/241.62/3.98/5.31
21 Oct 202323/242.69/3.54/2.50
18 Feb 202322/232.21/3.42/3.30
6 Aug 202222/232.65/3.27/2.71
2 Mar 202120/212.34/3.42/3.01
17 Oct 202020/212.40/3.33/2.96
31 Aug 201919/201.80/3.69/4.43
13 Oct 201818/192.14/3.36/3.60

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Away Record: Bristol Rovers

W 170D 128L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored638

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026