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Birmingham vs Bolton

22 October 2024 at 19:45St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
20
Away

Bolton

Referee: S. Martin

Match Summary

Birmingham defeated Bolton 2:0. The match was played in League One 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

Birmingham vs Bolton Head to Head Results· 15

Birmingham and Bolton have met 15 times — Birmingham won 6, Bolton won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (15 for the home side, 17 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (47%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bolton are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
6
wins
Total goals
32 · 2.1/match
Both scored
7/15 · 47%
Over 2.5
7/15 · 47%

Recent Meetings

04/03/25League One
Match Details
12/02/19Championship
Match Details
22/08/18Championship
Match Details
03/04/18Championship
Match Details
15/08/17Championship
Match Details
23/02/16Championship
Match Details
20/10/15Championship
Match Details
02/05/15Championship
Match Details
18/10/14Championship
Match Details
03/05/14Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Birmingham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bolton show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Bolton

WWWLDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Birmingham1wins
0draws2 meetings
Bolton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Birmingham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.1%Draw 26.8%Away 23.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.704.20
Max1.833.754.46
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 48.1%
Market favourite:Birmingham · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.0%25.6%21.5%
Public market52.2%25.4%22.4%

Birmingham vs Bolton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Birmingham
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BirminghamHalf-time:10Bolton
18Shots8
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

4 Mar 202524/253.83/3.34/2.01
22 Oct 202424/251.81/3.73/4.29

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Birmingham

W 34D 9L 3
Over 2.544
Goals scored84

Away Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026