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Port Vale vs Northampton

4 October 2025 at 15:00Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
Referee: Martin Woods

Match Summary

Port Vale and Northampton drew 0:0. The match was played in League One 2025.

Rivalry since 2011

Port Vale vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 15

Port Vale and Northampton have met 15 times — Port Vale won 7, Northampton won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Port Vale leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 33 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.20 per match (18 for the home side, 15 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2016.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
33 · 2.2/match
Both scored
6/15 · 40%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

24/02/26League One
Match Details
01/04/24League One
Match Details
16/09/23League One
Match Details
12/02/22League Two
Match Details
07/08/21League Two
Match Details
08/02/20League Two
Match Details
10/08/19League Two
Match Details
30/03/19League Two
Match Details
15/09/18League Two
Match Details
14/03/17League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2016

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Northampton show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale4wins
2draws10 meetings
Northampton4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.7%Draw 28.1%Away 22.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.763.504.33
Max1.773.634.57
Over 2.5: 42.6%Under 2.5: 63.7%
Market favourite:Port Vale · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.3%26.0%20.7%
Public market52.4%26.3%21.3%

Port Vale vs Northampton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:00Northampton
8Shots6
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

30/09/0606/072.14/3.18/3.03
26/04/0807/082.51/3.25/2.51
24 Feb 202625/262.25/3.20/3.10
4 Oct 202525/261.77/3.56/4.45
1 Apr 202423/242.45/3.29/2.93
16 Sept 202323/241.92/3.46/3.83
12 Oct 201616/173.21/3.46/2.28
14/03/1716/171.75/3.82/4.87
10 Jun 200707/081.84/3.29/3.88
2 Jun 200706/072.02/3.21/3.27

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 156D 107L 243
Over 2.549
Goals scored549

Away Record: Northampton

W 119D 108L 187
Over 2.548
Goals scored457

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026