League One· Season 2025
Match Summary
Burton Albion defeated Northampton 5:1. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Beesley 3′ (pen.), J. Armer 23′, M. Dyche 28′ (o.g.), T. Eaves 39′, T. Shade 44′, T. Shade 84′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Burton Albion had 50% possession while Northampton held 50%. Burton Albion had 15 shots (8 on target) compared to 13 (2 on target) for Northampton. Expected goals: Burton Albion 2.72 — Northampton 0.98. Burton Albion made 5 substitutions, Northampton made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Burton Albion and Northampton — 6 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: J. Beesley
Own Goal
assist: T. Taylor
assist: J. Larsson
assist: S. Krubally
Match Statistics
Burton Albion had 50% possession against Northampton's 50%. Burton Albion registered 15 shots (8 on target) while Northampton managed 13 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–7. Fouls committed: 12–8.
Rivalry since 2011
Burton Albion vs Northampton Head to Head Results· 17
Burton Albion and Northampton have met 17 times — Burton Albion won 7, Northampton won 8, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Northampton leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 48 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (24 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (41%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–5 in 2024.
Recent Meetings
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Burton Albion have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Northampton show 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from their last 6 outings.
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Market Summary
Margin: 9.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.20 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Max | 2.20 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Burton Albion
Away Record: Northampton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
API data: 13 May 2026