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Bolton vs Burton Albion

27 January 2026 at 19:45Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
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Bolton

21
Referee: T. Parsons

Match Summary

Bolton defeated Burton Albion 2:1. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by S. Dalby 50′, J. Armer 69′, S. Dalby 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Bolton had 57% possession while Burton Albion held 43%. Bolton had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 11 (1 on target) for Burton Albion. Bolton made 5 substitutions, Burton Albion made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Bolton and Burton Albion — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
61′
T. VancootenA. Hartridge
61′
71′
K. AdomT. Shade
71′
J. ArmerJ. Larsson
M. ConwayT. Gale
75′
K. DempseyI. Cissoko
75′
J. McAteeM. Burstow
76′
A. MorleyX. Simons
80′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Bolton had 57% possession against Burton Albion's 43%. Bolton registered 13 shots (6 on target) while Burton Albion managed 11 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 7–11.

Shots on Goal
6
1
Shots Off Goal
3
7
Total Shots
13
11
Blocked Shots
4
3
Shots inside the Box
12
5
Shots outside the Box
1
6
Fouls
7
11
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
57%
43%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
3
Total Passes
495
361
Accurate Passes
418
288
Pass Accuracy
84%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2015

Bolton vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 14

Bolton and Burton Albion have met 14 times — Bolton won 4, Burton Albion won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Burton Albion leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 36 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.57 per match (15 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2020.

4
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
36 · 2.6/match
Both scored
8/14 · 57%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Meetings

11/10/25League One
Match Details
08/03/25League One
Match Details
19/10/24League One
Match Details
01/01/24League One
Match Details
26/08/23League One
Match Details
18/04/23League One
Match Details
25/10/22League One
Match Details
15/02/22League One
Match Details
06/09/21League One
Match Details
10/03/20League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bolton have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

5
wins
draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (64%) — the odds may underestimate Bolton.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202625/261.42/4.00/7.00
Match Details
11 Oct 202525/264.37/4.01/1.67
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/253.66/3.56/1.98
Match Details
19 Oct 202424/251.39/4.80/7.59
Match Details
1 Jan 202423/241.35/4.85/8.67
Match Details
26 Aug 202323/243.78/3.50/1.93
Match Details
18 Apr 202322/233.37/3.42/2.15
Match Details
25 Oct 202222/231.70/3.80/4.88
Match Details
15 Feb 202221/222.63/3.43/2.62
Match Details
6 Sept 202121/222.12/3.44/3.30
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 9.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 70.4%Draw 25.0%Away 14.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.424.007.00
Max1.424.007.00
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:Bolton · Heavy favourite

Result vs. Market

Bolton
Result vs. Market: Bolton (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BoltonHalf-time:00Burton Albion
13Shots11
6Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bolton

W 138D 82L 90
Over 2.547
Goals scored454

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 134D 107L 162
Over 2.550
Goals scored480

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026