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Port Vale vs Burton Albion

5 April 2013 at 19:45Vale Park

Match Summary

Port Vale defeated Burton Albion 7:1. The match was played in League Two 2012.

Rivalry since 2011

Port Vale vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 17

Port Vale and Burton Albion have met 17 times — Port Vale won 6, Burton Albion won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.41 per match (20 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (41%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burton Albion are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2023.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
41 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/17 · 41%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Meetings

07/02/26League One
Match Details
16/08/25League One
Match Details
27/07/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
23/03/24League One
Match Details
14/11/23FA Cup
Match Details
04/11/23FA Cup
Match Details
19/09/23League One
Match Details
18/03/23League One
Match Details
20/08/22League One
Match Details
04/12/21FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Port Vale4wins
3draws8 meetings
Burton Albion1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Port Vale.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.4%Draw 28.3%Away 27.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.053.503.40
Max2.103.603.78
Market favourite:Port Vale · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.4%27.0%25.7%
Public market46.3%27.8%25.9%
Δ1.1%0.8%0.2%

Port Vale vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Port Vale
Result vs. Market: Port Vale (48%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Port ValeHalf-time:30Burton Albion
14Shots9
9Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23/10/1212/133.16/3.38/2.29
4 May 201312/132.07/3.53/3.64
19/01/1009/102.30/3.27/3.03
16/08/1111/122.48/3.25/2.78
3 Jun 201211/121.87/3.47/4.10
2 Jun 201009/102.33/3.24/2.84
1 Mar 201110/112.06/3.33/3.51
11 Feb 201010/112.61/3.25/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 112D 73L 91
Over 2.545
Goals scored368

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026