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Carlisle vs Burton Albion

21 October 2014 at 19:45Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria

Match Summary

Burton Albion defeated Carlisle 4:3. The match was played in League Two 2014.

Rivalry since 2015

Carlisle vs Burton Albion Head to Head Results· 3

Carlisle and Burton Albion have met 3 times — Carlisle won 2, Burton Albion won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Carlisle leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (4 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Carlisle are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
Total goals
6 · 2.0/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

27/02/24League One
Match Details
24/10/23League One
Match Details
15/04/15League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 21 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Burton Albion show 1 win, 5 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle0wins
1draws2 meetings
Burton Albion1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate Burton Albion.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.2%Draw 30.9%Away 37.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.002.63
Max2.883.402.70
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market34.1%29.4%36.5%
Public market34.0%28.8%37.2%

Carlisle vs Burton Albion — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burton Albion
Result vs. Market: Burton Albion (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:24Burton Albion
9Shots12
3Shots on target9

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

21/10/1414/152.84/3.23/2.66
15/04/1514/151.64/3.88/5.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Burton Albion

W 112D 73L 91
Over 2.545
Goals scored368

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026