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Luton vs Notts County

30 January 2016 at 15:00Kenilworth Road Stadium, Luton, Bedfordshire
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Luton

02

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Luton 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2015.

Rivalry since 2015

Luton vs Notts County Head to Head Results· 5

1
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
10 · 2.0/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
2/5 · 40%

Recent Meetings

05/05/18League Two
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09/12/17League Two
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22/04/17League Two
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29/10/16League Two
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12/09/15League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2015

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Luton

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Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton2wins
4draws8 meetings
Notts County2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.4%Draw 28.6%Away 32.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.202.99
Max2.403.703.20
Market favourite:Luton · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.0%26.4%32.6%
Public market40.5%27.0%32.4%

Luton vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Luton (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:00Notts County
14Shots9
6Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 May 201817/183.55/3.54/2.12
9 Dec 201717/181.77/3.78/4.64
29/10/1616/173.08/3.44/2.39
22/04/1716/171.73/3.86/4.99
9 Dec 201515/162.69/3.28/2.79
30/01/1615/162.36/3.50/3.06
23/08/0808/091.83/3.41/3.93
3 Oct 200908/092.18/3.31/3.28

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026