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Carlisle vs Hartlepool

5 April 2016 at 19:45Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
10

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Hartlepool 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2015.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Hartlepool Head to Head Results· 15

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
53 · 3.5/match
Both scored
11/15 · 73%
Over 2.5
13/15 · 87%

Recent Meetings

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08/10/22League Two
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18/01/22League Two
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28/08/21League Two
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14/04/17League Two
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15/10/16League Two
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29/08/15League Two
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02/05/15League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Carlisle dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle6wins
3draws10 meetings
Hartlepool1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.0%Draw 28.8%Away 23.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.254.15
Max1.983.604.20
Market favourite:Carlisle · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.3%27.2%23.5%
Public market49.9%27.0%23.1%

Carlisle vs Hartlepool — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Hartlepool
8Shots9
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202322/231.61/3.74/6.05
8 Oct 202222/233.10/3.24/2.38
18 Jan 202221/222.28/3.25/3.25
28 Aug 202121/222.58/3.20/2.81
15/10/1616/171.60/4.10/5.99
14/04/1716/172.82/3.40/2.59
29/08/1515/162.32/3.34/3.26
4 May 201615/161.96/3.48/4.18
10 Apr 201414/152.76/3.24/2.72
5 Feb 201514/152.53/3.40/2.87

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Hartlepool

W 101D 77L 144
Over 2.546
Goals scored353

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026