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Northampton vs Luton

30 April 2016 at 15:00Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
20
Away

Luton

Match Summary

Northampton defeated Luton 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2015.

Rivalry since 2011

Northampton vs Luton Head to Head Results· 9

Northampton and Luton have met 9 times — Northampton won 2, Luton won 7, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Luton leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 25 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (9 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Luton are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2015.

Drawn
0
·
7
wins
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
6/9 · 67%

Recent Meetings

15/04/26League One
Match Details
04/03/26EFL Trophy
Match Details
25/10/25League One
Match Details
16/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
29/08/20Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
12/12/15League Two
Match Details
28/03/15League Two
Match Details
25/10/14League Two
Match Details
12/11/11FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2015

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Northampton have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. Luton show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Luton

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Northampton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Northampton3wins
0draws4 meetings
Luton1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Northampton.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 52.6%Draw 27.3%Away 23.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.883.404.20
Max1.913.834.33
Market favourite:Northampton · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.9%25.5%22.6%
Public market51.3%26.1%22.6%

Northampton vs Luton — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Northampton
Result vs. Market: Northampton (53%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NorthamptonHalf-time:20Luton
14Shots7
5Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

12 Dec 201515/162.40/3.43/3.04
30/04/1615/161.90/3.66/4.28
25/10/1414/152.15/3.45/3.41
28/03/1514/152.20/3.37/3.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Northampton

W 241D 167L 181
Over 2.546
Goals scored801

Away Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026