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Exeter City vs Notts County

26 September 2017 at 19:45St James Park, Exeter

Match Summary

Notts County defeated Exeter City 3:0. The match was played in League Two 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Exeter City vs Notts County Head to Head Results· 9

Exeter City and Notts County have met 9 times — Exeter City won 4, Notts County won 2, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Exeter City leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.11 per match (17 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (78%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Exeter City are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2018.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
28 · 3.1/match
Both scored
7/9 · 78%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Meetings

23/03/19League Two
Match Details
08/09/18League Two
Match Details
20/01/18League Two
Match Details
14/02/17League Two
Match Details
27/09/16League Two
Match Details
19/03/16League Two
Match Details
24/10/15League Two
Match Details
14/02/12League One
Match Details
13/09/11League One
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Notts County show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Exeter City4wins
3draws10 meetings
Notts County3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.7%Draw 28.4%Away 31.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.403.10
Max2.313.653.25
Market favourite:Exeter City · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.2%26.7%31.1%
Public market42.3%27.8%29.9%
Δ1.1%1.1%

Exeter City vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Notts County
Result vs. Market: Exeter City (44%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Exeter CityHalf-time:01Notts County
14Shots11
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Mar 201918/192.95/3.34/2.45
8 Sept 201818/192.21/3.54/3.27
20 Jan 201817/181.98/3.47/4.03
26 Sept 201717/182.29/3.52/3.16
27/09/1616/172.50/3.42/2.90
14/02/1716/173.48/3.45/2.18
24/10/1515/162.69/3.39/2.69
19/03/1615/162.68/3.42/2.70
20/09/0808/092.07/3.25/3.28
1 Oct 200908/092.58/3.17/2.57

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Exeter City

W 211D 133L 153
Over 2.549
Goals scored694

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026