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Swindon Town vs Grimsby

21 April 2018 at 15:00County Ground, Swindon
01
Referee: John Brooks

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Swindon Town 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2017.

Rivalry since 2017

Swindon Town vs Grimsby Head to Head Results· 13

Swindon Town and Grimsby have met 13 times — Swindon Town won 7, Grimsby won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Swindon Town leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 46 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.54 per match (28 for the home side, 18 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (62%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (85%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–0 in 2023.

Drawn
2
·
4
wins
Total goals
46 · 3.5/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
11/13 · 85%

Recent Meetings

25/04/26League Two
Match Details
22/11/25League Two
Match Details
18/04/25League Two
Match Details
21/12/24League Two
Match Details
20/04/24League Two
Match Details
30/09/23League Two
Match Details
14/01/23League Two
Match Details
24/09/22League Two
Match Details
22/02/20League Two
Match Details
07/12/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 50 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Grimsby show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Swindon Town dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Swindon Town7wins
1draws10 meetings
Grimsby2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.5%Draw 26.8%Away 19.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.723.604.80
Max1.753.865.25
Market favourite:Swindon Town · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.3%25.1%18.6%
Public market55.6%25.9%18.5%

Swindon Town vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Swindon Town (57%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:01Grimsby
19Shots10
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

25 Apr 202625/261.68/3.80/4.33
22 Nov 202525/262.25/3.30/2.95
18 Apr 202524/251.80/3.57/4.30
21 Dec 202424/252.29/3.50/2.89
20 Apr 202423/241.95/3.68/3.72
30 Sept 202323/241.84/3.72/4.17
14 Jan 202322/232.45/3.20/3.01
24 Sept 202222/232.23/3.37/3.28
22 Feb 202019/201.71/3.80/4.89
7 Dec 201919/203.19/3.48/2.28

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026