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Luton vs Forest Green

28 April 2018 at 15:00Kenilworth Road, Luton
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Luton

31
Referee: Lee Collins

Match Summary

Luton defeated Forest Green 3:1. The match was played in League Two 2017.

Rivalry since 2011

Luton vs Forest Green Head to Head Results· 8

4
wins
Drawn
3
·
Total goals
24 · 3.0/match
Both scored
5/8 · 63%
Over 2.5
4/8 · 50%

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Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2025

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Luton

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Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Luton dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Luton2wins
0draws2 meetings
Forest Green0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Luton.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.3%Draw 22.0%Away 12.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.444.207.50
Max1.454.758.00
Market favourite:Luton · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.9%20.7%12.4%
Public market67.4%20.4%12.1%

Luton vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Luton
Result vs. Market: Luton (69%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LutonHalf-time:10Forest Green
11Shots9
8Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

28 Apr 201817/181.44/4.55/7.77
16 Dec 201717/186.12/4.23/1.56

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Luton

W 96D 67L 67
Over 2.546
Goals scored339

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026